Yahoo!s Top Twenty Running Backs LaDainian Tomlinson Adrian Peterson Steven Jackson Brian Westbrook Joseph Addai Marion Barber Frank Gore Clinton Portis Marshawn Lynch Larry Johnson Ryan Grant Maurice Jones-Drew Laurence Maroney Brandon Jacobs Willis McGahee Ronnie Brown Jamal Lewis Michael Turner Willie Parker Darren McFadden
So, obviously, it helps to follow the sport and use your gut instincts. In order to pick the running back that generates the most fantasy points you have to figure how many yards you think they'll run for, how many passes they'll catch (especially for a PPR league such as the Fanatics) and how many touchdowns they'll score. You also have to watch out for "handcuffs" for instance; Brandon Jacobs may share a bunch of carries with Ward, and others and not score a bunch of TDs, at least not in the caliber of an LT, Westbrook or Peterson. Parker runs for a lot of yards but Pittsburgh has a habit of taking him out of goal line situations and putting in hard nosed TD vultures, for the past few years it was Harris and Davenport, this year it might be the rookie Mendenhall. Barber used to be a TD vulture, but now he's the main back, so his numbers will change. Parker, Maroney, Grant, Lynch and Jacobs didn't catch that many passes last year, but that can change quickly: last year was Lynch's 1st year and now he's got a great fullback to block for him so he could really open up in the backfield and Grant's offensive scheme may be altered by Rogers at QB for Green Bay instead of Favre. Frank Gore, under new offensive coordinator Mike Martz, may be catching more balls...
You also have to see how players come back from injuries-take Larry Johnson for example: he was injured for most of last season, he's trying to make a comeback but has a porous offensive line, but, on the other hand, Kansas City plays five of the league's weakest run defenses early in the season, so he may put up some great numbers. Rudi Johnson and Ronnie Brown were good consistent RBs in the past but both were out most of last year and no one really knows how they'll respond. Also watch Steven Jackson: he played well after recovering from an early season injury, but is threatening to hold out all season. But, that could change tomorrow. Even then, if he signs just before the regular season begins, he may not get into real playing condition until the third game.
Brian Westbrook is a great pick and in PPRs should be ranked #2 as he led all RBs in total yards from scrimmage last year, but he has been injury prone in the past and played through a lot of pain. Reggie Bush is sort of like Westbrook too...he was injured last year but could very well put up great numbers (however, New Orleans has great receivers and now, with Shockey at TE might get pass-happy). Then there are sleeper picks, Julius Jones may one of those on Seattle, so is his brother Thomas on the Jets and many people are already drafting TJ as a #3 or 4 RB, And no one knows how rookie Darren McFadden will produce on the Raiders: he may be this year's Adrian Peterson or he may be splitting carries with Justin Fargas. One last question mark is Michael Turner on Atlanta-Atlanta is a poor team in general, but they've shown they can run the ball in the past with Warrick Dunn. Now without Dunn and Matt Ryan developing as the possible starting QB it could be feast or famine for LT's former outstanding backup. DeAngelo Williams might come out of nowhere and Maurice Jones-Drew is a very exciting little running back, but if Fred Taylor stays healthy he'll steal a lot of his carries.
_________________ Give me golf clubs, fresh air and a beautiful partner, and you can keep the clubs and the fresh air.- Jack Benny
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