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Ahira's Hangar • View topic - The '07 Playoff/Super Bowl Challenge

Ahira's Hangar

David Zindell's Neverness, A Requiem for Homo Sapiens and all things Science Fiction and Fantasy
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 Post subject: The '07 Playoff/Super Bowl Challenge
PostPosted: Sun Dec 30, 2007 10:02 pm 
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He's a chance to grab some glory if you didn't do as well as you hoped (like me) in the Picks game. It's really simple:

Pick the playoff winners for Wildcard Weekend, Divisionals, League Championship and the Super Bowl. And, most importantly, predict the scores of those games. Not only does your record count but the LEAST number of negative points you accumulate counts as well.

example: Colts 44 Chargers 40-if you predicted Colts 38 Chargers 35 you would be 1-0 but also -12 (look at the '06 Playoff/SB thread to see how the scoring goes).

You can erase your negative numbers like this:
exact score: +20
total points: +15
closest pick of the week: +10

I'll post the Wildcard Weekend Games tomorrow-they start on Saturday this coming weekend.


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2007 9:27 pm 
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Ok, here's the line up for Wildcard Weekend
Saturday, January 5th
Washington at Seattle-afternoon
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh-late
Sunday, Jan. 6th
NY Giants at Tampa Bay-early
Tennessee at San Diego-afternoon

I'll post my picks soon-don't forget to predict the overall score of each game as well-it counts not only towards that individual award but towards your overall finish, which will be much more consice than it was last year.

Some analysis:
Wash/Sea-we should have a new player, Zenlunatic, who is a hardcore Seattle fan, so his breakdown of this game should be particularly interesting. Washington couldn't get it together in the early half of the season due to injuries and a hobbled Santana Moss and Clinton Portis. But they're now on an impressive winning streak with all their stars healthy and Todd Collins playing very well at QB. Despite (love that word) momentum they have to travel to the northwest to beautiful Qwest field and face the playoff saavy Seahawks. The Seahawk's O-line will have to be tough to open holes for Alexander and Morris against a Wash D-line that held the inept Dallas rushing attack to 1 yard last week. Their secondary also needs to tighten up after yielding 4 TDs to Atlanta. Then again, week 17 games don't mean that much so we probably didn't see the real deal. Matt Hasslebeck and the receiving corps of Branch, Burleson, Engram (and maybe Hackett) are formitible. Seattle needs to have a stellar first half as Washington isn't the greatest catch-up team in the NFL. If not Washington could be on a mission for Sean Taylor and Joe Gibbs.

Jax/Pitts-Many think Jacksonville might have an edge here since their 1-2 run-punch of Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew has been as impressive as their defense. David Garrard has mobility and has been consistantly making long gains in the air, primarily to Reggie Williams, in their last 3 or four games. Pittsburgh, however, has home advantage and a highly ranked defense that, unfortunately, has been giving up a lot of yards recently (so JAX may have the advantage defensively). Their hope and achillies heel is Najeh Davenport now carrying the running back load with Willie Parker out for the season. Playoff tested Big Ben, Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward represent their air attack which has been, somewhat, quiet of late. So the Steelers are, do some degree, stumbling backwards into the playoffs but Roesthlisberger has looked determined since training camp. Don't be surprised if he runs in for a TD or two.

NYG/TB-This game is so evenly matched it's ill. I'm assuming Jeff Garcia will start for the Bucs, though McCown has seen alot of action at QB lately. Ernest Graham looks very potent now leading running corps with a bunch of talented unknowns. Joey Galloway is Tampa's number one air threat and Ike Hilliard can chunk out the yards too. New York's secondary is somewhat suspect but their pass rush makes it stronger than it should be. The key to TB's success will be protecting the QB. Eli Manning played very well against New England last week, but in pressure situations can become too uptight and mechanical. Plaxico Burress is a fanstastic target when things click, but Ronde Barber and the talented Tampa Bay secondary may have something else to say about that. Brandon Jacobs has had a very good year at running back, but Derrick Ward and the TB linebacking corps may relish slamming into such a big target. Look out for Giant sleepers causing damage, such as Toomer and Boss.

Tenn/SD-It won't surpise anyone here who I'm rooting for. The home team has finally gotten things back together and have reclaimed themselves as the Chargers we expected after being blown up in two, particular, early games-including being run ragged by Adrian Peterson-and adjusting to a major coaching change. During the 5 game win streak they carry in Philip Rivers appears to have calmed down and is completing consistant passes to Chris Chambers and Vincent Jackson. LT speaks for himself and Michael Turner is a big load. Even Darren Sproles has gone nuts in SD's running attack, and never forget about Antonio Gates. Managing the game will be the key for both Rivers and Vince Young-Tennessee needs to rely and LenDale White and Young to run the ball, but Young looked a little gimpy on Sunday. The Titans have some ok receivers, even though Roydel Williams is out, but Antionio Cromartie and the two Quentins have been very effective in the San Diego secondary even with Phillips out. Rivers can't manage properly if Albert Haynesworth and extremely tough Tenn D break though, but, on the other hand, if Young is gimpy at all Shawn Merriman, Luis Castillo and others are fast enough to run him into the ground.


Last edited by danlo on Fri Jan 04, 2008 10:40 pm, edited 5 times in total.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2007 9:51 pm 
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Ok my picks, subject to chance are:
Seattle 27 Washington 21
Jacksonville 24 Pittsburg 21
Tampa Bay 21 New York 17
San Diego 28 Tennessee 17


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PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2007 11:11 pm 
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Actually danlo you did a pretty good job of summarizing the Skins/Hawks game. Seattle has a good offense and a decent defense. The Skins have been playing REALLY well lately, and have the whole playing for Sean motivation. BUT, the one BIG thing the Seahawks have that tilts this game in their favor is that they are at home. That's huge for them. So, my picks:

Seattle 24, Washington 18
Pittsburgh 10 Jacksonville 7 (it's in Pitt right, the weather could be a factor?)
Giants 28, Tampa Bay 14 (they impressed me in the New England game)
San Diego 30, Tennessee 17

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2007 11:28 pm 
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*newbie question*

Y'all know I have a pat score I go with. Can I use the same score for all games? If so, my picks are the same as danlo's...

Seattle 24 Washington 17
Jacksonville 24 Pittsburg 17
Tampa Bay 24 New York 17
San Diego 24 Tennessee 17

If this doesn't work, let me know and I'll make up some numbers...

Again, welcome ZL!!

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Dec 31, 2007 11:31 pm 
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No that's fine-a good law of averages, just remember you get docked for the overall # of actual points you're off (so blow-outs could really hurt you).


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 01, 2008 4:19 pm 
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*still learning how this all works*

Good to know, thanks danlo.

Mayhaps I'll change strategy next year. It definitely didn't work this year.
(but it was fun!)

I'll see this season out the same way I've played so far though.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 02, 2008 1:16 am 
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Washington at Seattle- Redskins: 24-20
Jacksonville at Pittsburgh-late: J-Ville: 19-17
Sunday, Jan. 6th
NY Giants at Tampa Bay-early: BUCCS: 27-17
Tennessee at San Diego-afternoon: Bolts: 31-20


Subject to change!


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Jan 03, 2008 1:53 am 
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Seattle 24, Washington 17
Jacksonville 21, Pittsburgh 17
Tampa 23, NY Giants 20
San Diego 21, Tennessee 20


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Jan 03, 2008 6:08 pm 
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Seattle 24-17

Jacksonville 21-10

Tampa Bay 31-13

San Diego 27-10

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Jan 04, 2008 3:38 am 
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High L-rd and dAN, you and I have the same winner and score for the Seattle/Washington game. Is that OK?

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PostPosted: Fri Jan 04, 2008 7:05 pm 
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Last edited by danlo on Fri Jan 04, 2008 10:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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